Building a New "Paradigm"
The Upper Limit Hypothesis

 

 


Why Schools Can't Improve: The Upper Limit Hypothesis".

A Paper by: Robert K Branson Florida State University
http://www.icte.org/T01_Library/T01_257.PDF

Life Cycles for maturing technologies and systems can be represented by a sigmoid curve. The introduction of any technology is characterised by a slow start with limited levels of efficiency. The slow beginning gives way to a rapidly improvement in efficiency until increases in efficiency begin to taper off and the system approaches the upper limit for the technology. For any system or enterprise there is an efficiency upper limit 100% which is never quite reached.

The first modern education paradigm was based on the technology of the book for both recording of information and for the transmission of information. But the book was expensive and rare but in general it was a reliable source of information.

The book paradigm started out reasonably ineffective and eventually reached an upper limit of performance in the early 1960's

Teachers wanting to ask clever, open, fertile or high order thinking questions beyond topics such as space, dinosaurs and volcanoes needed more resource that the library could provide and ended up creating their own resources which took large amounts of time. The overall effect of this was that the general level of questioning was low and as a consequence the level of understanding was often low. The emphasis of the first education paradigm was on knowing. Those that knew a lot were considered clever, and assessment focussed on remembering.

However, Branson insists that we have reached the upper limit of this book-based education paradigm. But as a paradigm reaches its upper limits of efficiency there is usually another paradigm waiting in the wings to replace the previous one. The Internet-based second education paradigm had arrived.

The year 2004 saw the possibility for schools to enter into this new paradigm and fundamentally change what schools are and do . . . forever.

2004 heralds the year when the Internet paradigm became a practical reality in terms of cost and access. In the second [modern] education paradigm information and communication systems are

  • overwhelming in quantity
  • presented in a multitude of media formats
  • of a very high quality
  • increasingly reliable


1.Each of these transitions is possible due to the fundamental transition from information being rare, expensive but reliable to information being overwhelming, cheap and unreliable.

2.This enabled teachers to ask clever, rich and open questions and be able to resource these questions with appropriate, rich multimedia resources that match each individual students learning needs.

3.Through the setting of rich/clever/open questions that have students interrogate the information resources, students are able to build understanding rather than just know about concepts.